According to City Journal‘s Steve Malanga, Californication shouldn’t be as bad as people think:
Conservatives and moderates are the most unhappy with the state and most anxious to leave. Liberals, by contrast, are mostly staying put, and some think life in California is just great. Only 38 percent of Democrats said that they were considering leaving, compared with 55 percent of independents and 71 percent of Republicans. Similarly, those characterizing themselves as “somewhat liberal” were least likely to say that they want to go—fewer than four in ten are considering leaving. But 53 percent of moderates, 66 percent of the “somewhat conservative,” and 74 percent of the “very conservative” would like to migrate. Political affiliation, in fact, was more of a predictor of who wants to go or stay than other demographic information, such as race.
I think that the longtime residents of Colorado (to name just one state infested with ex-Californians) might beg to differ with Malanga’s thesis — and I think I know the problem.
Basically, “conservative” Californians coming to, say, Texas probably aren’t conservative at all. Compared to other Californians, they might be; compared to conservative Texans, they’re probably more like moderate Democrats. And the way to establish the truth of this is to find out if during their first year in a new state, these Cali-expats bought a gun (if they didn’t bring any with them). If they didn’t buy a gun, they failed the first unofficial test of conservative American citizenship.
This kills me. I have very dear relatives who are lifelong Californians, and are making serious plans to leave the state. They are probably more conservative than I am, and are staunch gun owners to boot. But I’m positive that Uncle Mike and The Angel In Human Form are in no way representative of these modern Joads-in-reverse.
More’s the pity.
P.S. The above-mentioned relatives (much to my chagrin) are not moving to Texas because of the heat. But let’s just say that the political makeup of one of the mountain states is about to become a lot more conservative.