I’m always amazed that people can sometimes get hoodwinked by statistics, but then I spent probably half my life working with the damn things, so I’m more or less immune to the problem. Here’s one which could affect me personally:
More than 120 Uber and Lyft drivers have reportedly sexually assaulted their passengers, according to a report by CNN.
After analyzing police reports, federal court records and county court databases across the US, the cable news channel found that over the last four years, at least 103 Uber drivers and 18 Lyft drivers have allegedly raped, forcibly touched or kidnapped passengers, among other crimes.
Whoever wrote this scare story needs to get a kick in the ass. Here’s the first part: the appearance up front of the total number — which is alarming, I’ll admit.
I’ll ignore the Lyft number for the moment, because I’m an Uber driver.
Granted, the hundred-odd incidences (rounding down to a manageable number) involving Uber drivers is too high — hell, one is too many — but we’re dealing with human beings here, and any human activity is prone to abuse.
At least the number of years was disclosed — four — which averages about 25 per annum. Still too many, but not as scary as the magic 100. But the killer statistic is really the one which CNN buries much later in the “report”, which is, 100 out of how many total Uber trips or events over four years did these attacks take place.
That number is, according to Uber, is 2.4 billion. In other words, the chances of anyone getting molested by an Uber driver are 1 in 24 million.
Even allowing (let’s say) that only unaccompanied women are going to get molested, and they account for about half of all Uber trips — which is roughly my experience — that’s still only 1 in 12 million.
Now factor in geography — i.e. places where the Uber driver population is skewed towards men most likely to commit these crimes — and the stats, just looking at the last names of people who are accused of such crimes, tend to support the hypothesis that these criminals fall into the Middle-Eastern and African demographic, and many, especially in large urban metropolises, are fairly-recent immigrants — and the picture becomes especially clear.
What’s disturbing about all this is that Uber does screen potential drivers before enlisting them, which begs the question as to whether their screening process — or at least the proficiency of the company that Uber uses to do the screening — should not be more comprehensive or thorough. And you can be sure that Uber will do just that — because they too say that even one such incidence is too many.
Still, ladies: it looks like you’re safer taking an Uber trip* than walking (or even driving) to your destination, especially in a strange locale.
That’s the conclusion to be taken from the CNN report, even if that’s not necessarily the one that CNN wanted you to.
*You’re even safer, of course, if you have me as your Uber driver — unless of course I forgot to take my “special” pill that morning… [exit, drooling]
“at least 103 Uber drivers and 18 Lyft drivers have allegedly raped, forcibly touched or kidnapped passengers, among other crimes.”
Among other? Does that mean 121 rapes, etc. plus additional events, or does it mean 121 crimes, some of which were rapes?
Are you sure don’t mean unless you REMEMBER to take your special blue pill?
My “special” pill is the one that keeps me from running hippies over in the streets. It’s Diovan, to contain my blood pressure.
And Viaga is for beginners. Cialis is the one favored by the pros.
Plus the statistical analysis is insanely incomplete without a comparison to Taxi driver rape statistics, as those buggers are as horny and evil a crew as ever leered at a passenger.
When I drove cab I cannot tell you the number of times one of the guys would openly boast about fondling a drunk and passed out female passenger. Probably most of those boasts were guy talk bullshit, but who knows?
After surviving decades of gun control discussions, wherein statistics were my most valuable tool, I learned the following:
The facts, although interesting, are irrelevant.
Rhetoric beats dialectic, every time.
They’ve got the defect rate down to 1/12,000,000. Zero would be desirable, but is it achievable?
Bear in mind that screening can only prevent incidents with drivers who have a previous history of misbehavior, or pre-existing signs of bad attitude in this area. It won’t prevent incidents with drivers who passed the screening and went bad later.
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